March, 2010
2010 BDBL
Farm Report
Welcome
to the latest edition of the BDBL Farm Report. This year, our
panel of experts includes Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus,
MinorLeagueBaseball.com and Baseball HQ. The formula is simple: I
assign 100 points to the #1 prospect on each list, 99 points to the #2
prospect, etc.. I then tally up all the points to arrive at the
table below:
|
|
Total Pts |
2010 |
2009 |
2008 |
2007 |
2006 |
2005 |
2004 |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
Avg Rank |
|
CHI |
1,730 |
1 |
6 |
12 |
2 |
10 |
14 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
12 |
6.6 |
|
SCS |
1,452 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
2 |
3 |
10 |
17 |
7.4 |
|
ALN |
1,362 |
3 |
13 |
16 |
6 |
13 |
4 |
16 |
12 |
9 |
4 |
18 |
10.4 |
|
SAB |
1,299 |
4 |
20 |
22 |
18 |
22 |
8 |
3 |
18 |
15 |
5 |
13 |
13.5 |
|
AKR |
1,223 |
5 |
12 |
8 |
23 |
12 |
18 |
21 |
15 |
13 |
2 |
9 |
12.5 |
|
SAL |
1,103 |
6 |
10 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
7 |
1 |
6.0 |
|
ATL |
1,054 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
10 |
21 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
11 |
20 |
24 |
12.9 |
|
BCJ |
976 |
8 |
9 |
23 |
9 |
3 |
12 |
22 |
20 |
21 |
23 |
21 |
15.5 |
|
MIS |
968 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
17 |
19 |
7 |
8 |
15 |
10 |
10.2 |
|
CLE |
948 |
10 |
21 |
20 |
13 |
19 |
24 |
24 |
21 |
24 |
24 |
20 |
19.9 |
|
LAU |
903 |
11 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
19 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
5.3 |
|
VIL |
886 |
12 |
15 |
15 |
7 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
18 |
18 |
8 |
10.0 |
|
NHB |
841 |
13 |
16 |
21 |
20 |
17 |
20 |
18 |
6 |
14 |
17 |
11 |
15.6 |
|
NMB |
757 |
14 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
23 |
22 |
15 |
14 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
11.0 |
|
SCA |
751 |
15 |
17 |
14 |
16 |
11 |
15 |
11 |
9 |
7 |
14 |
15 |
13.0 |
|
GLS |
647 |
16 |
24 |
24 |
21 |
14 |
16 |
9 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
6 |
17.0 |
|
NIA |
475 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
11 |
23 |
24 |
6 |
9 |
23 |
16.7 |
|
COR |
390 |
18 |
22 |
11 |
24 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
9.6 |
|
RAV |
318 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
22 |
24 |
23 |
12 |
22 |
20 |
13 |
5 |
18.0 |
|
LVF |
278 |
20 |
11 |
10 |
14 |
15 |
21 |
17 |
13 |
23 |
22 |
16 |
16.5 |
|
KCM |
237 |
21 |
7 |
13 |
8 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
22 |
10.8 |
|
KAN |
150 |
22 |
23 |
9 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
11 |
16 |
11 |
4 |
10.3 |
|
SYL |
70 |
23 |
14 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
13 |
20 |
4 |
22 |
19 |
14 |
16.9 |
|
STL |
65 |
24 |
8 |
5 |
11 |
9 |
19 |
10 |
23 |
17 |
12 |
19 |
14.3 |
#1 Chicago Black Sox
Ranked prospects: Jesus
Montero (8), Ryan Westmoreland (18), Dee Gordon (30), Jarrod Parker
(31), Casey Crosby (43), Josh Bell (46), Mat Gamel (76), Ethan Martin
(85), Austin Romine (120), Chris Heisey (126)
Unranked prospects: Reymond Fuentes, Nick Noonan, Kyle Skipworth,
Matt Sulentic, Nick Barnese, Anthony Ranaudo
So you want the #1 farm system in the
BDBL? That's easy. Just trade a $100,000 Evan Longoria!
Both Montero and Westmoreland arrived from the St. Louis Apostles thanks
to that winter trade, and Gordon was picked up with Chicago's #1 pick in
this winter's farm draft. Chicago's #4 prospect, Parker, was also
picked up this winter in a trade for Manny Ramirez. When
you trade away that much established, Major League talent, you should
expect to assemble an impressive farm system. Unfortunately for
John Gill, there are a couple of problems here that aren't showing up in
the ranking. Westmoreland is scheduled for brain surgery, and
there are now questions as to whether he'll ever play again. And
Parker will miss most (if not all) of the 2010 season after Tommy John
surgery. Regardless of those issues, this is still a strong farm system,
and a strong farm has
been a Chicago tradition dating back to the formative years of the BDBL.
This is the second time the Black Sox have ranked #1 in this study (the
first coming in 2002), and the fourth time they've ranked among the top
two.
#2 South Carolina Sea Cats
Ranked prospects: Buster
Posey (4), Justin Smoak (11), Freddie Freeman (42), Aroldis Chapman
(48), Jennry Mejia (52), Fernando Martinez (64), Reid Brignac (76),
Jordan Lyles (112)
Unranked prospects: Adrian Cardenas, Chase d'Arnaud, Logan
Forsythe, Greg Halman, Reese Havens, Cedric Hunter, Brandon Jones,
Anthony Rendon, Anthony Rizzo, Will Inman, Ian Kennedy, Wynn Pelzer
When you finish in last place three
years in a row, it helps to have a good farm system, as it gives you
something to look forward to. Thankfully for Tony DeCastro, he has
a very good farm system. So good, in fact, that it has now ranked
#2 in this survey two years in a row. Frankly, however, I think the
experts sold this farm system short. Chapman didn't make Baseball
Prospectus' top prospects list (probably due to the timing of the book's
release), and didn't make MILB's list, either. Not only didn't
Chapman make Jonathan Mayo's top 50 list, but neither Freeman nor Mejia
made his list. And among the unranked prospects, Rendon may be the
best hitter in college baseball right now. So as impressive as a
#2 ranking is, this farm system is actually much better than that.
Something to look forward to in South Carolina.
#3 Allentown Ridgebacks
Ranked prospects: Mike
Stanton (3), Carlos Santana (9), Jeremy Hellickson (15), Derek Norris
(38), Grant Green (91)
Unranked prospects: Sean Doolittle, Randal Grichuk, Cody Johnson,
Alex Liddi, Manny Machado, Angel Morales, Miguel Velazquez, Randall
Delgado, Scott Lewis, Garrett Richards
The Ridgebacks acquired all three of
their top three prospects last season, trading (among others) Carlos
Beltran, Jake Peavy, Carlos Marmol and Yovani Gallardo to get them.
It was a very steep price to pay, but it gave Allentown the third-best
farm system in the BDBL -- the franchise's highest ranking ever in this
annual survey. And it comes at a time when the Ridgebacks are
predicted to run away with their division. That's a pretty sweet
combination if you can swing it. Stanton is the highest-ranked
hitting prospect this franchise has ever owned (note: Ryan
Braun and Jay Bruce were both acquired by Allentown after they had
reached the top three.) While Stanton whiffed 144 times in 129
games last year (including 99 times in 79 Double-A games), his power
potential is enormous, and he could very well become the next Russ Branyan. A small price to pay for Yovani Gallardo.
#4 San Antonio Broncs
Ranked prospects: Neftali
Feliz (7), Brian Matusz (9), Aaron Hicks (25), Jared Mitchell (68), Mike
Leake (76), Brandon Allen (92), Ike Davis (96)
Unranked prospects: Collin DeLome, Paul Goldschmidt, Gorkys
Hernandez, Andrew Locke, Tommy Mendonca, Oscar Tejeda, Danny Valencia,
Blake Beavan, Fautino de los Santos, Craig Kimbrell, Michael Pineda
You're welcome, Greg. Yes, the
top THREE prospects on the San Antonio farm were all former Cowtippers.
The last time a franchise traded two top-ten prospects during the same
season, it was when I acquired both Delmon Young and Ian Stewart in a
trade during the winter of 2005. Here's hoping that the Broncs
enjoy just as much success with Feliz and Matusz. Hicks was an
interesting ranking at #25 overall, given that he hit just .251 in his
first full season, with a slugging percentage of just .382. Of the
four experts on our panel, only HQ's Rob Gordon ranked him below the top
30 (#54.) #4 prospect, Mitchell, will likely sit out the entire
2010 season after tearing his tendon while performing a circus catch
this spring. The unranked group includes several names that were
ranked a year ago, including Hernandez, Beavan and de los Santos.
San Antonio's #1 pick in this year's farm draft, Grant Desme, was ranked
#109 overall. But he was released this past chapter after it was
reported he had left the game of baseball for the priesthood. You
can't make this shit up.
#5 Akron Ryche
Ranked prospects: Dustin
Ackley (12), Domonic Brown (16), Logan Morrison (23), Jhoulys Chacin
(56), James Darnell (99), Danny Duffy (101), Travis d'Arnaud (117),
Hector Rondon (125)
Unranked prospects: Kris Bryant, Nick Castellanos, Travis
Harrison, Evan Anundsen, Jack Armstrong, Dylan Covey, Matthew Purke,
Chance Ruffin
If you think Dustin Ackley has been on
Akron's farm forever, you're wrong. It's only been since 2008,
when he was just a sophomore in college. Today, he's considered to
be the best pure hitter in the minor leagues. My, how quickly they
grow up. Speaking of growing up, this team's #2 prospect, Brown,
went from #87 overall last year to #16 this year, after hitting
.299/.377/.504 at three different levels last year. How unexpected
was this meteoric rise to the top? So unexpected that Greg Newgard
traded Brown (along with David Hernandez) at the Chapter Four deadline
last year in exchange for Taylor Buchholz and Fautino de los Santos.
(I'm not sure who the throw-in was there, or why that trade was even
made.) This winter, D.J. Shepard made a huge push toward
stockpiling high school and college talent. We'll see how that
strategy pays off a year from now.
#6 Salem Cowtippers
Ranked prospects: Stephen
Strasburg (1), Pedro Alvarez (6), Tyler Flowers (54), Dan Hudson (62),
Eric Hosmer (83), Scott Elbert (121)
Unranked prospects: Tyson Gillies, Brent Morel, Guillermo
Pimentel, David Renfroe, Gary Sanchez, Manny Banuelos, Zach Braddock,
Hisashi Iwakuma, Alex Torres
The Cowtippers are the only franchise
in BDBL history to rank among the top ten in this annual survey in each
of the eleven years I've been doing this study. That streak may
come to an end in 2011, however, as both Strasburg and Alvarez are
expected to graduate to the majors, leaving behind no prospect likely to
ascend to the top 20. There was great debate among our panel of
experts on whether Strasburg or Los Altos outfielder Jason Heyworth
deserved the #1 overall ranking. In the end, it was a tie. HQ and BP
listed Strasburg #1, while BA and MILB ranked him #2. Strasburg
becomes the third Cowtipper in franchise history to be ranked #1 in this
survey, joining Jay Bruce (2008) and Mark Teixeira (2003.)
Incredibly, the Cowtippers would have owned FOUR of the top ten
prospects in baseball this year if I hadn't been so generous in trading
away both Neftali Feliz (#7) and Brian Matusz (#9) to my good buddy,
Greg. There is a name for people who spread such vast amounts of
young talent throughout the league, akin to someone planting trees that
bear some sort of fruit. I just wish I could remember what that
name is, but I'm sure someone will help me out with that.
#7 Atlanta Fire Ants
Ranked prospects: Wade Davis
(22), Mike Montgomery (29), Tim Beckham (36), Arodys Vizcaino (67),
Jordan Walden (73), Mike Trout (84), Ryan Kalish (115), Aaron Miller
(119)
Unranked prospects: Brandon Crawford, Robbie Grossman, Bryce
Harper, Starling Marte, Max Stassi, Jemile Weeks, Zeke Spruill
Once upon a time, the Fire Ants
franchise ranked among the cellar-dwellers in this annual survey.
But for the fourth year in a row, and the fifth time in six years,
Atlanta finds itself among the top ten. As John Danks, Ross
Detwiler, Jair Jurrjens, Mat Latos, Max Scherzer and Andy Sonnanstine
hurl for the 2010 Fire Ants pitching staff, the next wave of Atlanta
phenoms waits in the wings. There aren't too many farm clubs in
the BDBL that can claim to have three pitching prospects as talented as
Davis, Montgomery and Vizcaino on the farm. But the best prospect
in this farm system isn't a pitcher, and he isn't even ranked. If
he were eligible, Harper would surely rank among the top ten -- if not
the top five -- prospects in baseball. Barring a
catastrophic injury or a Grant Desme-like calling from God, that is where we'll find Harper a year from now.
#8 Bear Country Jamboree
Ranked prospects: Desmond
Jennings (5), Madison Bumgarner (13), Wilson Ramos (73), Carlos Triunfel
(93), Scott Sizemore (100), Hak-Ju Lee (103), Aaron Poreda (110)
Unranked prospects: Norichika Aoki, Nick Franklin, Slade
Heathcott, Chris Marrero, Ryan Strieby, Matt Harvey, Matt Hobgood,
Yuniesky Maya, Eduardo Sanchez, Karsten Whitson
This franchise's farm system has had an
interesting history. Original GM Bryan Sakolsky enjoyed perhaps
the most successful farm draft of any team in 1999 when he selected
Pablo Ozuna, Carlos Lee, Jacque Jones, Kris Benson and Seth Etherton in
the BDBL's inaugural farm draft. For the next five years, this
franchise ranked among the bottom four. Then, in 2005, Bear
Country's farm director began working overtime and the Jamboree jumped
up to #12 in the ranking. And, with the exception of one fluke
23rd ranking in 2008, Bear Country has ranked among the top ten farm
systems in the BDBL ever since. This year, Jennings leapt from #61
last year all the way to #5, even leaping over Bumgarner, who was ranked
#6 a year ago. With his combination of speed and on-base skills,
Jennings could be a Kenny Lofton-like force in the Jamboree lineup as
early as 2011. With Bumgarner's fastball now topping out in the
high-80's, his future is a little dimmer than it was a year ago.
#9 Mississippi Meatballs
Ranked prospects: Michael
Taylor (24), Christian Friedrich (25), Zach Wheeler (69), Phillippe
Aumont (71), Alex White (71), Miguel Sano (82), Josh Reddick (85), Jacob
McGee (130), Thomas Neal (130)
Unranked prospects: Kellen Kulbacki,
The acquisition of Taylor this past
chapter shot this team's ranking all the way from #15 to #9. Which
is great if you're trying to build an elite farm system, but not so
great if you're trying to compete. With five ranked pitching
prospects and five ranked hitting prospects, there is good balance on
the Mississippi farm. And there are a number of players here who
can vault to the top of the prospect lists by next spring, including
Sano, White, Aumont, Reddick and McGee.
#10 Cleveland Rocks
Ranked prospects: Kyle
Drabek (20), Tanner Scheppers (34), Lonnie Chisenhall (49), Ben Revere
(59), Tony Sanchez (79), Michael Brantley (95), Jordan Danks (124)
Unranked prospects: Stephen Jenkins, Matt McBride, Beau Mills,
Ryota Igarashi, Adam Miller, Santos Rodriguez, Zack Von Rosenberg, Carl
Webster
The Cleveland Rocks at #10??
Surely this is a sign of the Apocalypse. Or global warming.
Something surely isn't right. In the previous ten years, the Rocks
finished above the bottom five just ONCE -- a #13 ranking in 2005.
So this is a new high-water mark for the franchise that has prided
itself on paying zero attention to its farm system. Of course,
Mike Stein would be quick to point out that his farm system was the
fourth most successful in the league's first decade (better than
fifth-place Salem), according to this article I wrote for our 10th
anniversary last year. The reason for the discrepancy is that
Cleveland's best prospects through the years (Brandon Webb, Chase Utley,
Russ Martin, Joe Crede, Freddy Sanchez, Dan Uggla, etc.) weren't very
highly regarded as minor leaguers. So now that Cleveland's
prospects are highly-regarded, does this
mean they'll eventually suck?
#11 Los Altos Undertakers
Ranked prospects: Jason
Heyward (1), Julio Teheran (35), Tyler Matsek (39), Kyle Gibson (79),
Fabio Martinez (129)
Unranked prospects: Nolan Arenado, Bryce Brentz, Kentrail Davis,
Kenny Diekroeger, Sonny Grey, Danny Hultzen, Ryan Wheeler, Kyle Blair,
Brad Holt
A year ago (or even a minute before I
put this survey together), if you had bet me $10 that the Cleveland
Rocks would own a better farm system than the Los Altos Undertakers,
you'd be $10 richer right now. It's difficult to believe, but this
is the lowest this franchise has ranked in this survey since 2003!
Even with this "low" ranking, the Undertakers still own the best hitting
prospect in baseball. This is the third time in four years the
Undertakers have owned the #1 prospect in baseball, which is a mighty
impressive feat. With Heyward graduating to the big leagues, there
doesn't appear to be enough top-30 candidates waiting in the wings to
prevent this franchise from finishing out of the top ten two years in a
row. Oh, what will Jeff do??
#12 Villanova Mustangs
Ranked prospects: Martin
Perez (17), Josh Vitters (45), Jason Knapp (63), Jaff Decker (64),
Trevor Reckling (79), Jake Arrieta (85), Carlos Carrasco (108),
Christian Bethancourt (133)
Unranked prospects: Ryan Flaherty, Caleb Gindl, Mychal Givens,
Justin Jackson, Tommy Joseph, Jarred Cosart, Kasey Kiker
There continues to be a wide disparity
of opinion about Vitters. He was ranked among the top 30 by both
HQ and BP, but was ranked just 70th by BA, and was not ranked among
MILB's top 50. The consensus is a bit more consistent regarding
Perez, who is generally considered to have front-of-the-rotation stuff.
When it comes to prospects, it is often better to have quantity instead
of quality, and Villanova seems to fit into that category.
#13 New Hope Badgers
Ranked prospects: Brett
Wallace (20), Austin Jackson (40), Donavan Tate (56), Simon Castro (58),
Brett Jackson (73)
Unranked prospects: Juan Duran, Hector Gomez, Brett Jackson,
Mitch Moreland, Dellin Betances, Andrew Brackman, Clayton Cook, Chad
Jenkins, Brett Marshall, Pat Venditte
Known for stockpiling unusual, quirky
players in his farm system, it is strange to see Tony Badger's franchise
ranked this highly. Because Badger likes to focus on freakish
players with one or two unique traits (such as lugging around 270
pounds, or being 7 feet tall, or pitching with both hands) and aging
prospects with the upside of being #4 outfielders, middle relievers or
backup infielders, the Badgers franchise has not traditionally fared
well in this survey. But this season,
one of those freaks, Brett "The Walrus" Wallace, ranked between #11 and
#43 on our four experts' prospect lists. And the acquisitions of a
couple of highly-athletic basketball players-turned-outfielders, Austin
Jackson and Donavan Tate, in 2008, give the Badgers a couple of fliers
who could eventually convert their athleticism into baseball skills.
Sometimes, being a freak isn't necessarily a bad thing.
#14 New Milford Blazers
Ranked prospects: Alcides
Escobar (14), Brett Lawrie (41), Matt Moore (44), Adam Moore (118), Nick
Weglarz (123)
Unranked prospects: Andrew Lambo, John Raynor, Garrett Gould,
Scott Mathieson, Jake Odorizzi, Cody Scarpetta, Zach Stewart
It's always nice when you can trade a
pitcher who won't throw another pitch for at least a year and get your
franchise's #1 prospect (and a top-15 overall prospect, at that) in
exchange. But then, Peabrain has grown used to having teams in the
BDBL throw their best players at him in exchange for his unwanted
garbage. The consensus on Lawrie is that there is no consensus.
Baseball HQ ranks him as high as #19 (which should disqualify them from
the label of "experts"), while Baseball Prospectus places him at a much
more reasonable #99. The Moore brothers are nothing to write home
about, and Weglarz has been trolling around in the Blazers farm system
for what seems like decades. While none of the players above
scream "future all-star," there is no doubt whatsoever that Peburn will
have no difficulty converting some (if not all) of these
second-tier jackoffs into high-impact platoon players and situational
relievers by the end of this season.
#15 Southern Cal Slyme
Ranked prospects: Jacob
Turner (28), Casey Kelly (31), Aaron Crow (33), Tim Melville (127), Noel
Arguelles (134)
Unranked prospects: Max Ramirez, Kyle Russell, David Bromberg, Yu
Darvish, Zach McAllister, Deck McGuire, Josh Osich, James Paxton, Stolmy
Pimentel, Henry Sosa
The top prospect in the Slyme farm
system has yet to throw a single professional pitch. Their #2
prospect has just 95 pro innings under his belt (after an aborted
attempt to become a positional player) -- none above the Low-A level.
Their #3 prospect has also yet to throw a professional pitch. #4
throw 97+ innings at the Low-A level. And #5 has also yet to throw
a professional pitch. All told, the five ranked prospects in the
SoCal farm system are all pitchers, and they've thrown a total of 197
innings -- none above Low-A. In other words, there is a huge gap
between what the SoCal farm system should eventually become, and what it
actually is at the moment.
#16 Great Lake Sphinx
Ranked prospects: Starlin
Castro (19), Chris Carter (27), Zach Britton (89)
Unranked prospects: Kyler Burke, Josh Donaldson, Daryl Jones, D.J.
LeMahieu, A.J. Pollock, Neftali Soto, Tony Thomas, Chris Carpenter, Kei
Igawa, Tyler Robertson
After finishing dead-last in this
survey for the past two years, the Sphinx leap all the way to #16 on the
strength of their #1 pick in the farm draft this winter, Castro.
In this day and age, it is very rare to see a top-20 prospect go
unclaimed throughout the entire previous year, yet Castro somehow snuck
under everyone's radar. Carter came to this franchise last season
in exchange for Mike Lowell and Eric Hinske. Not much of a
sacrifice for a guy who may hit 40 homers in the big leagues at some
point soon. Once you get past those two, there isn't much left in
this farm system to get excited about. None of the other 11 names
above are likely to appear among the top 25 in next year's survey.
#17 Niagara Locks
Ranked prospects: Shelby
Miller (55), Chris Withrow (60), Alex Colome (66), Juan Francisco (96),
Michael Ynoa (98), Jay Jackson (113)
Unranked prospects: Jonathan Lucroy, Marcell Ozuna, Jurickson
Profar, Domingo Santana, Eric Arnett, Wilmer Font, Brad Lincoln, Shelby
Miller, Jose Ramirez, Madison Younginer
When Mike Ranney took over this
franchise last June, we all wondered what kind of farm system he would
build, given that his predecessor spent so much time and effort scouting
the Pacific Rim. Ranney skipped out of last year's midseason farm
draft, so this past winter's draft was his first opportunity to place
his own unique stamp on the Locks farm system. If that draft is
any indication, Ranney has evidently pulled all of his scouts out
of the Pacific Rim and has assigned them to Latin America. No
fewer than six of Ranney's nine picks in this winter's farm draft were
teenagers signed last year out of Latin America. Two of the three
exceptions, #1 pick Withrow and #3 pick Colome, are among this team's
six ranked prospects. Those teenagers on the unranked list?
Only time will tell.
#18 Corona Confederates
Ranked prospects: Drew
Storen (53), Michael Saunders (61), Andrew Cashner (106), Hank Conger
(106), Jiovanni Mier (110), Chad James (113)
Unranked prospects: Bobby Borchering, Yordy Cabrera, Allen Craig,
Anthony Hewitt, Brandon Snyder, Matt Sweeney, Joe Savery, Jason Stoffel
When the Confederates unexpectedly (to
borrow the AP's favorite word) bolted out of the gate to post the best
record in the BDBL over the first six weeks of the season, Ed McGowan
dealt his top prospect, Michael Taylor, in order to shore up his
pitching staff. As a result, the Confederates fell from #16 to #18
in this survey. A small price to pay. While this franchise
enjoyed an incredible streak of top-7 rankings through the first seven
years of this study, their #18 ranking is now consistent with recent
history. And with two 95+ win seasons in the past four years, and
evidently another one on the way, the Corona franchise has hardly
suffered.
#19 Ravenswood Infidels
Ranked prospects: Todd
Frazier (47), Will Myers (69), Jose Tabata (103), Brandon Erbe (116),
Peter Bourjos (132)
Unranked prospects: Jeff Bianchi, Michael Burgess, Ivan DeJesus,
Conor Gillaspie, Jason Kipnis, Josh Phegley, Rafael Rodriguez, Alex Meyer
The #1-ranked farm system in BDBL
history (according to my 10th Anniversary study), the Infidels
have never ranked very highly in this annual study. With an
average rank of 18, the Ravenswood farm ranks behind only the lowly
Cleveland Rocks in that regard. The reason, as I pointed out in my
10th Anniversary article, is that many of Ravenswood's best prospects
through the years (Johan Santana, Dontrelle Willis, Mark Ellis, Robinson
Cano) did not enjoy remarkable minor league careers, and didn't have
glowing scouting reports to indicate that they would ever enjoy the
level of success they have. Certainly, the same can be said of the
group of names above, as none of these prospects are considered shoo-ins
to become Major League all-stars. Bah. "Experts." What
do they know?
#20 Las Vegas Flamingos
Ranked prospects: Yonder
Alonso (37), Nick Hagadone (88)
Unranked prospects: Bryan Anderson, Corey Brown, David Cooper,
Wilin Rosario, Bryan Henry, Josh Lindblom, Brett Lorin, Lance Lynn,
Michael Main, Trevor May, Greg Reynolds, James Simmons, Ryan Tucker
Perhaps the biggest mystery throughout
all four prospect lists on our expert panel this year was Baseball
Prospectus prospect guru Kevin Goldsmith's omission of Yonder Alonso
from his top-101 list. Alonso ranked #45 on BA's list, #17 on HQ,
and #30 on MILB. But Goldsmith deemed him to be an inferior
prospect to guys like Danny Espinosa, Gabriel Noriega and Fabio
Martinez. Really?? I really miss the days when Baseball
Prospectus' prospect lists were compiled based almost purely on
statistics and the probability of reaching a given level of ability.
Back in those days, BP's prospect lists used to outperform all others.
But alas, since the introduction of Goldsmith to the lineup several
years ago, BP's list is now just like everyone else's. Which is
one of the reasons why I'm no longer a subscriber.
Anyway...Alonso's pretty good. Certainly a top-50 prospect in my
book (if I had one.) And Hagadone is a potential sleeper if he can
stay healthy.
#21 Manchester City Irish Monarchs
Ranked prospects: Jason
Castro (50), Tim Alderson (102), Matt Dominguez (103)
Unranked prospects: J.P. Arencibia, Jeff Clement, Zach Collier,
Chad Jones, Dayan Viciedo, Angel Villalona, Levon Washington, Tim
Wheeler, Everett Williams, Andrew Oliver, Chris Sale, Jameson Taillon
Boy, has this farm system laid a few
eggs recently. Last year, this franchise ranked #7 in this survey,
led by Villalona, who went from #47 on the prospect list to #1 on the
Dominican Republic's Most Wanted list. He is now baseball's
version of O.J. Simpson, facing a minimum of 20 years in prison if he's
found guilty of murder (bringing a whole new meaning to the term
"Murderer's Row.") While Jim Doyle and his front office accomplice
search for the real killer, they should be asking themselves why
Villalona is still on their roster. Last year's #2 prospect,
Dominguez, fell from #50 to #103 in this ranking after posting a
yawn-inducing 725 OPS at two levels last year. Last year's #3
prospect, Arencibia, went from #57 overall to falling right off of
everyone's list. This year's crop isn't looking much better
(although there probably aren't any other murderers in this lot.)
The most interesting prospect in this entire farm system is Taillon, who
has a chance to be #2 overall this June after the Great Bryce Harper.
#22 Kansas Law Dogs
Ranked prospects: Mike
Moustakas (51)
Unranked prospects: Christian Colon, Zack Cox, Esmailyn Gonzalez,
A.J. Cole, Gerrit Cole, Danny Gutierrez, Hitoke Iwase, Brian Leach, Cory
Luebke, Michael McCardell, Edward Reynoso, Will Smith, Travis Wood
If not for the Chapter Two trade that
brought Moustakas to the Law Dogs, Kansas would have become the first
franchise in many years to tally zero points in the Farm Report.
Moustakas (.250/.297/.421) hardly impressed in his first full season of
A-ball, but that didn't stop all four of our experts from ranking him
among the top 80 prospects in the game (topping out at #32 for MILB.)
To reinvigorate his farm system, Chris Luhning went hard after the high
school and college kids in the farm draft -- which, as I showed in the
10th anniversary farm study, has not proven to be a recipe for success
in years past.
#23 Sylmar Padawans
Ranked prospects: Jose
Iglesias (93), Lars Anderson (121)
Unranked prospects: Isaac Galloway, Reggie Golden, Miguel
Gonzalez, Wes Hodges, Jake Marisnick, Hunter Morris, Connor Narron,
Carlos Perez, Eury Perez, Tanner Bushue, Juan Nicasio, Chaz Roe
To hear John Duel tout his "future
superstars", "good, young talent" and "prized possessions" throughout
the course of the winter and spring, it's shocking to see the Padawans
ranked second-from-last in this survey. Evidently, the rest of the
world sees things a little differently than Mr. Duel. Go figure.
Iglesias was only ranked by one of our experts (#45 by MILB), as was
Anderson (#87 by BA.) Golden is currently ranked #23 on BA's list
of high school prospects for the 2010 draft, and Narron is ranked #76 on
that list. Morris is ranked #43 on BA's college prospect list.
For the most part, players ranked below the top 10-15 on these lists
rarely vault to the top 100 prospect list, so these guys are longshots
to appear among the ranked group next year.
#24 St. Louis Apostles
Ranked prospects: Wilmer
Flores (90)
Unranked prospects: Kelvin DeLeon, Daniel Descalso, Alfredo
Despaigne, Jon Gaston, Christian Lopes, David Lough, Jeff Malm, Robert
Stock, Jaime Garcia, Jeanmar Gomez, Tyler Kehrer, Mike Minor, Drew
Pomeranz, Robbie Ross
A fixture of the top ten for the past
four years, the Apostles now occupy the space once reserved for the
Cleveland Rocks. A couple of years ago, Bobby focused almost
entirely on stockpiling teenaged international free agents from Latin
America. He managed to hit paydirt (somewhat) with Flores, who is
now the system's only ranked prospect. Of the unranked group,
Pomeranz could be a high draft pick this June, and Lopes could be among
the top five in 2011.
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