November, 2011
Three
Cheers for the Champs
It
has been an exciting year, filled with dominant performances,
jaw-dropping trades and nail-biting pennant races that weren't decided
until the final days of the season. In the Eck League, the Atlanta
Fire Ants and Kansas Law Dogs were supposed to dominant the league, and
they fulfilled pre-season expectations, winning 109 and 105 games,
respectively. Both teams outscored their opponents by more than
200 runs. The Great Lakes Sphinx FINALLY broke their 12-year
drought without a playoffs appearance, capturing the EL wild card by
seven games. And the Person Division race was the tighest race in
league history. All four teams in the division were separated by
four games or less from Opening Day until the final week of the season.
The St. Louis Apostles were favored to win this division, but didn't
take sole possession of first place until the very last week of the
season.
Over in the Ozzie League, it was just
another boring 100-win season for the Los Altos Undertakers (their third
season in a row of 100+ wins.) But the other three teams in the
playoffs weren't decided until the final chapter. In the Benes
Division, the Mississippi Meatballs came out of nowhere to rob the
division title from the Las Vegas Flamingos in the final days of the
season. This, despite the fact that the Flamingos outscored their
opponents by 120 runs this season, while Mississippi outscored their
opponents by just one run. The final two spots in the playoffs
were claimed after an epic three-way battle between the New Milford
Blazers, Salem Cowtippers and San Antonio Broncs. The Cowtippers
ended their season with a loss to the Corona Confederates at the hands
of backup catcher Lou Marson, while the Broncs split a crucial series
with the Undertakers to give them a one game lead over Salem. New
Milford needed just four wins in their final two series to capture the
Butler Division title and leave Salem out in the cold, and they did just
that, winning an extra game two games just for good measure.
The post-season stage is now set.
Let the Tournament of Randomness begin!
Atlanta
Fire Ants
Only five franchises in BDBL history
have ever won 109 or more games in a season. Make that six.
With a runs differential of 275, the Fire Ants were the most dominant
team in the Eck League, and were only five runs away from matching the
Los Altos Undertakers' total. Their 573 runs allowed was by far the lowest
total in the BDBL (Los Altos was next at 602), and Atlanta's team ERA of
3.33 is among the lowest in BDBL history.
Fire Ants pitchers allowed an average of
less than eight hits per nine innings, allowed just 467 walks (second to
only Kansas) and struck out a 1,308 (second to only Southern Cal.) And
the Atlanta defense allowed an average balls-in-play rate of just .281
-- also second only to Kansas. The top three pitchers in the EL in
ERA are all Fire Ants: Clay Buchholz (2.36), John Danks (2.82) and Max
Scherzer (2.86). And the Atlanta starting rotation featured two
20-game winners in Danks (21-9) and Buchholz (20-6).
Offensively, Atlanta hit .270/.343/.444
as a team (each of those rates above league average), roped 50 triples (tops in the EL),
and stole 72 bases at an 80% success rate. Incredibly, the Fire
Ants ranked #2 in the EL in runs scored (848) despite not having any
player rank among the top 10 in batting average, on-base percentage,
slugging, home runs or RBI's.
It seems like decades ago that the Fire
Ants set a new BDBL record for losses in a single season, though that
was only three years ago. In the three years since then, Atlanta
has won 94, 93 and 109 games. All hyperbole aside, it is truly the
most remarkable turnaround in BDBL history. Atlanta spent NINE
YEARS in the Hrbek Division gutter, escaping last place just once during
the span of 2000-2008. That's a LONG time for any franchise to
endure such poor performance. And usually, when an owner gets into
such a vicious cycle of failure, there is no escape. (Just ask Jim
Doyle.)
But Gene Patterson came up with a game
plan in 2008, and he has brilliantly implemented that plan. That year, he
jettisoned the type of player that has little value when building a
long-term dynasty; guys like Edgar Renteria, Jeff Francoeur, Joe Crede
and Mike Cameron. And in exchange, he acquired cheap young players
with upside: John Danks, Max Scherzer, Mat Latos and Andy Sonnanstine.
He paid more attention to his farm, picking up players like Gordon
Beckham, Jemile Weeks, Tim Beckham and Bryce Harper, who would all have
tremendous value going forward, either on the field or in trade.
In 2009, he used his free agent money
wisely, signing low-risk/high-upside players like Paul Konerko, Denard
Span and Ryan Madson. He also made a few shrewd pre-season deals,
acquiring his team's ace (Ervin Santana) and top closer (Joey Devine) at
a combined salary of just $2.2MM. And thanks to the swift rise to
stardom by Danks and Sonnanstine, the Fire Ants challenged the all-time
BDBL ERA record and captured their first-ever division title just one
year after losing 118 games.
While most worst-to-first stories tend
to be brief thanks to teams employing the
"stockpile" and "purge" strategy, the Fire Ants were able to maintain their
success because of that core group of players they chose to build
around. In 2010, Danks returned to anchor the Atlanta rotation.
He was joined by Jair Jurrjens (a product of the Atlanta farm system),
Kevin Millwood (a 9th round draft pick in 2009), and rookie Clay
Buchholz (another product of the farm.) Once again, the pitching
staff carried Atlanta to their second straight division title.
The same principle holds true of
Atlanta's third straight title this season: pitching led the way.
Returning to the fold were Danks and Buchholz. And joining them
were Latos and Scherzer -- both products of that 2008 rebuilding season.
Patterson bolstered his offense this
past winter -- and added some flexibility to his team's payroll -- in a
blockbuster trade with the Allentown Ridgebacks, sending Jurrjens, Lance
Berkman, Coco Crisp and Mike Trout to Allentown in exchange for Justin
Morneau, Jayson Werth, Ian Kinsler and Shelly Duncan. He then
added Chipper Jones, Angel Pagan and Jose Valverde through free agency.
The result: a 109-win season for the
Fire Ants, representing a new franchise record.
Los
Altos Undertakers
For the third year in a row, the
Undertakers led the Ozzie League in wins. This season, they were
the most dominant team in the entire BDBL with a league-best 280 runs
differential. Los Altos beat up on the Eck League this season
(13-3), the Buckingham Badgers (10-2) and the Corona Confederates
(10-2). And, oh yes, they also beat up the San Antonio Broncs
(12-4)...until their last series of the season. Damn you, Paulson.
The Undertakers hit .272/.349/.450 as a
team, with 882 runs scored (2nd in the OL), 209 homers (#3 in the OL)
and 648 walks (tops in the OL). They also led the OL in stolen
bases, with 85. Defensively, Los Altos owned a 3.38 team ERA,
which was second to only the Atlanta Fire Ants in the BDBL. They
led the OL in fewest hits per nine (8.1) and tied for the league lead in
saves, with 55. They also led the OL (by a lot) in turning double
plays (170!), despite the fact that so few batters reached base against
Undertakers pitching.
In the 2009 Season Preview,
I wrote: "the Undertakers dynasty has just begun. It will be a
very long time before it comes to an end." Since then, Los Altos
has won an astounding 332 games
in three seasons, and captured a BDBL championship in one of their two
playoff appearances. The core of the Undertakers team hasn't
changed much in those three years. C.C. Sabathia (Paulson's $22
million free agent investment in '09), Jon Lester (acquired in a tragic
2008 trade with Salem), Rickie Weeks (a product of the Los Altos farm)
and Adrian Gonzalez (acquired in a tragic trade with Cleveland in 2007)
were all members of that 2009 squad.
If Paulson had merely stood pat with
that 2009 squad, it's more than likely that Matt Garza, Joaquim Soria,
Josh Hamilton and Justin Upton would have helped carry the team to two
more division titles. Instead, Paulson swapped out all of those
players for players with even longer-term upside, ensuring that Los
Altos would not only win the next two divisions, but would be set up
nicely for years afterward.
Garza was swapped out in the Hanley
Ramirez deal this past winter, and was replaced in the rotation by
Clayton Richard (acquired from New Milford in 2010 in exchange for
situational reliever Matt Guerrier.) Josh Hamilton was replaced by
Curtis Granderson in a deal with Niagara in 2010 (a deal that has looked
tremendously lopsided for each team over the past two years.)
At the final trading deadline of 2010,
Paulson added Longoria in a monster 11-player deal with St. Louis,
sacrificing Justin Upton in the process. And Soria was dealt to
the Kansas Law Dogs this winter in exchange for top prospect Gerrit
Cole, and was replaced in the bullpen by Heath Bell, who came along in
that Hanley Ramirez deal.
Meanwhile, the Los Altos farm system
continues to produce all-stars like a non-unionized factory.
Heyward made his BDBL debut this season, and despite his MLB stumble in
2011, looks to be a fixture in the Undertakers' outfield for years to
come. Brandon Beachy was handed a $1 million signing bonus as a
free agent this past winter, while the rest of the league was sleeping.
Depending on what happens this winter, he could be the ace of this staff
in 2012. Cole was the #1 overall pick in the 2011 MLB draft, and
could rise very quickly up the ladder. And Venters enjoyed a
terrific rookie season in the BDBL, and looks to be even better next
season.
This will be the third straight playoff
appearance of the Los Altos Dynasty, and as I wrote back in 2009, "the
best the rest of us can hope for is an historic upset in the playoffs."
We witnessed that historic upset in the 2010 playoffs. Can
lightning strike twice?
Kansas
Law Dogs
In a year reminiscent of 2001, the Law
Dogs led the Eck League in nearly every offensive category this season,
including batting average, OBP, slugging, runs scored, hits and home
runs. They even stole 156 bases, which was second to only
Cleveland. Defensively, Kansas posted a 3.84 ERA, good for third
in the EL, and led the league with a .276 average on balls in play.
The yo-yo strategy has proven to be a
winner throughout BDBL history. It's a simple two-step strategy.
Step 1: trade away every decent player on your roster for prospects and
cheap young players. Step 2: trade every prospect and decent young
player on your roster for stars with immediate value. Win a
championship. Lather, rinse, repeat.
Following three straight 90-win seasons
(94, 96 and 99), the Law Dogs took last year off to regroup, losing
nearly 100 games. During that time, Chris Luhning traded nearly
every decent player on his roster, getting players like Evan Meek, Luke
Hochevar, Aaron Crow, Erick Aybar, Neil Walker and Mike Moustakas in
exchange. Then, in true yo-yo tradition, Luhning spent this past
winter cashing in most of those players for present value.
Walker was shuffled off to Sylmar in
exchange for Brett Gardner (.264/.371/.360 with 74 stolen bases) and Mark Ellis
(.299/.366/.433). Aybar was sent packing
to Corona (along with Derek Lowe) for Brad Lidge, who was then flipped
to Ravenswood for Gaby Sanchez (.238/.309/.393). Hochevar was
sent to Mississippi along with three prospects for Cole Hamels (9-6,
4.37).
And Moustakas was part of the seven-player package that netted Shin-Soo
Choo (.315/.417/.533 in 302 AB), Anibal Sanchez (7-9, 5.18 ERA), Adam LaRoche
(.287/.338/.495, 18 HR in 307 AB) and Michael Young (.260/.335/.423) from Corona.
Another longstanding tradition of the
yo-yo strategy is to spend huge money on free agents, costs be damned.
Luhning did just that in January, signing the auction class' top
pitcher, Roy Oswalt (22-8, 2.92 ERA), to a $15 million salary, and the auction's top
hitter, Jose Bautista (.258/.369/.645, with a league-leading 58 HR and
162 RBI), for $11 million.
In addition to all these high-priced
newcomers, the 'Dogs also got a shot in the arm with the unexpected rise
to superstardom of former farmhand Carlos Gonzalez (.323/.374/.546, 31
HR, 122 R, 129 RBI, 35 SB). After the Oswalt signing, the subsequent trades for Hamels and Sanchez were a bit
of overkill, given that the pitching staff was already stacked with Matt
Cain (Jim Doyle's gift that keeps on giving) and Tim Hudson (an
off-season acquisition from the St. Louis Apostles as part of the David
Wright trade.) Luhning also pulled off another lopsided deal with
St. Louis last winter, acquiring Nick Markakis (.328/.401/.485) and Glen Perkins in
exchange for prospect Zack Cox. And he also added closer Joaquim
Soria (1.31 ERA in 61+ IP, 40 SV) in a November deal with Los Altos, sacrificing Ernesto Frieri and
Gerrit Cole.
Basically, with the exceptions of
Gonzalez and Cain, every player who played a significant role in Kansas'
division title this season was acquired at some point during this
season. And with Gonzalez, Cain, Hamels, Oswalt, Gardner and Soria
all under contract through 2013, Kansas will likely enjoy at least two
more years of contention before the yo-yo inevitably begins its decline
and the next firesale begins anew.
New Milford Blazers
The Blazers won their second division
title this season with a franchise-high 97 wins. They ranked #2 in
the Ozzie League in runs differential (227), and led the entire BDBL in
runs scored with 935 (46 more than the next best team.)
The New Milford offense hit
.282/.354/.485 as a team. They led the league in batting average,
OBP, slugging, runs scored, hits, doubles and triples. In other words, they led the
Ozzie League in nearly EVERY offensive category except home runs (where
they missed the league lead by three.)
On the mound, the Blazers ranked #4 in
team ERA, and owned the 5th-best OL defense, measured in terms of
balls-in-play average (.291). New Milford's bullpen was league
average in nearly every measurable category, yet they saved 54 games --
just one away from the league leader.
How do you build the league's greatest
lineup? One cheesy pinch hitter at a time. It isn't easy,
however. Instead of finding eight legitimate hitters to fill those
eight positions in your lineup, you need to find 12-16. It's hard
work, but every once in awhile it pays off. And it certainly paid
off for Anthony Peburn in 2011.
Only two hitters on the New Milford
roster had more than 500 PA's this season, and one of them was New
Milford's $15 million ($45 million over three years, guaranteed)
off-season investment, Robinson Cano. Cano (.337/.402/.591, 49 2B, 36 HR, 142 R,
104 RBI) earned every penny of his salary this season, far
out-performing his MLB numbers despite playing half his games in a
BDBL ballpark (LH HR factor of 120) that pales in comparison to the homer-happy Yankee Stadium
(LH HR factor of 150).
The only other player with more than
500 PA's in the Blazers' lineup this season was Andres Torres
(.280/.350/.503, 52 2B, 18 HR, 108 R, 68 RBI), who was picked up as a $5
million platoon player in 2010. Torres' ascension into a full-time
role was one of those "happy accidents."
Every other position on the Blazers'
roster is filled with a combination of pinch hitters. Behind the
plate, Ronny Paulino (.331/.381/.401) combined with Brian McCann
(.287/.378/.434) to create 103.1 runs. At first base, Russ Branyan,
Mike Morse and Wes Helms combined for 132.1 runs created -- more than
Albert Pujols. At shortstop, Bill Hall and Ian Desmond combined
for 76.6 runs created -- more than Derek Jeter. At third, Casey
Blake and Wilson Betemit combined for 102.7 runs created -- more than
Ryan Zimmerman.
In left field, Jim Edmonds, Matt Diaz
and Eric Patterson combined for 88.7 runs created. In center
field, Shane Victorino and Torres combined for 175.4 runs created.
And
in right, Jack Cust, Torres and Morse combined for 228.6 runs created.
Basically, the Blazers fielded an
entire lineup full of MVP candidates, despite having just two full-time
players. Only in DMB.
On the mound, Clayton "Asswipe"
Kershaw established a new career high with 18 wins. In 223+
innings, Kershaw -- who was acquired by the Blazers when he was still in
high school -- posted a 3.54 ERA
while striking out 207 batters. Gavin Floyd, who was acquired from
the Great Lakes Sphinx in 2010 in exchange for Martin Prado, went 14-8
with a 3.91 ERA this season. Yovani Gallardo, a 2009 acquisition
who was acquired in exchange for then-prospect Mike Stanton, went 15-5
with a 4.21 ERA and 195 K's. And Jeremy Guthrie, who was acquired
as a salary dump in 2009, gave the Blazers 8 wins and a 4.92 ERA in 203
innings.
Inexplicably, New Milford's best
reliever was Hakanori Takahashi (134 IP, 2.22 ERA), who was a Chapter
Four free agent pickup in 2010. Peburn picked up several other
relievers on the cheap who earned far more than their salaries, such as
Jensen Lewis (2.50 ERA in 39+ IP), Santiago Casilla (3.30 ERA, 22 SV in
60 IP) and Matt Guerrier (3.40 ERA in 76+ IP).
Given his ability to squeeze maximum
results out of cheap spare parts, is Anthony Peburn the
Billy Beane of the BDBL? Or is he just a douche?
You decide.
Great
Lakes Sphinx
Finally! After TWELVE YEARS of
futility, the Great Lakes Sphinx franchise has finally made it to the
post-season. Prior to this season, the Sphinx were the only
franchise in the BDBL that had yet to experience November baseball.
Their streak of eleven straight seasons with 89 or more losses is a
record that will never be matched...let's all hope.
Believe it or not, the Sphinx's 88 wins
in 2011 is franchise
record. The Great Lakes offense was below-average in nearly every
category. They hit just .256/.318/.424 as a team, compared to the
EL average of .260/.327/.414. And they ranked 7th out of 12 EL
teams in runs scored. What they lacked in offense, however, they
made up for it on defense. The Sphinx pitching staff ranked behind
only the Fire Ants in ERA (3.67), and they allowed fewer longballs than
any team in the EL.
This foundation of this team's success
is their starting rotation, which ranks among the best the league has
ever seen. Jered Weaver (15-13, 3.88 ERA, 256 K in 236+ IP), Johan Santana (14-10,
3.71 ERA in 216 IP) and Ubaldo
Jimenez (14-13, 3.50 ERA, 244 K in 242 IP) were all acquired during the 2009 pre-season. Weaver
was added in a pre-season trade with the Los Altos Undertakers in
exchange for Billy Wagner and Mike Napoli. Santana was Scott Romonosky's shocking $20.5 million free agent signing. And Jimenez
was acquired in a trade with the St. Louis Apostles, in which Great
Lakes surrendered Kelly Shoppach, Mat Gamel, Daniel Cortes and Jensen
Lewis.
Together, those three aces were
supposed to bring an end to Great Lakes' unprecedented streak of
failure. Instead, the Sphinx lost 99 games and finished in the
Higuera Division cellar once again.
In 2010, Great Lakes returned all three
aces to the fold, and expectations were higher than ever. In the
Pre-Season Preview, the Sphinx were picked to win the EL wild card.
Instead, they lost 90 games and finished in third place.
This season, expectations were once
again high in the pre-season. And once again, the Sphinx were
picked to win the EL wild card. And for the first time ever, those
expectations were met. So what changed?
For starters, the Great Lakes pitchers
finally produced as expected. In 2009, Weaver went just 3-14 with
a 4.26 ERA, Santana was a huge disappointment at 15-17 with a 4.57 ERA,
and Jimenez went just 11-14 with an ugly 5.58 ERA. As a result,
the team finished 9th in the EL in ERA.
In 2010, Weaver was awful, racking up a
5.16 ERA to go with his 11-12 record. Santana was abysmal yet
again, going 7-14 with a 4.85 ERA. And Jimenez was a bit better at
11-13 and a 4.01 ERA, yet still a huge disappointment, given his MLB
performance. The Sphinx finished 11th in the EL in ERA.
This season, Great Lakes pitching
finally lived up to expectations. Perhaps it was just regression
to the mean, or perhaps it was the off-season decision to switch
ballpark models from a somewhat neutral park to one that heavily favors
lefty power hitters while hurting righties.
Offensively, the Sphinx took a slight
step backward this season. In 2010, they ranked 5th in the EL in
runs scored with 809. This season, they ranked seventh.
Oddly enough, Carlos Ruiz, a 22nd-round draft pick in 2009, may have
been the team's offensive MVP this season. In just 326 AB, Ruiz hit
.371/.427/.610 with 34 doubles and 14 homers.
Prince Fielder, another one of Romonosky's 2009 trade acquisitions
(acquired in exchange for James Loney, Corey Hart, and a couple of
prospects that haven't panned out) was supposed to be the main
beneficiary of the team's new home ballpark. Instead, he hit just
29 home runs this season -- three fewer than his MLB total.
Last season, Romonosky re-acquired Hart
from the Corona Confederates in exchange for JA Happ. Hart hit a
respectable .248/.313/.469 with 27 homers and 80 runs created. This past winter, Romonosky made a huge
splash in the news by acquiring David Wright from the St. Louis Apostles
in exchange for Chris Perez, J.D. Drew and Casey McGehee. Wright
added 28 homers to the team total, and hit .254/.313/.470 on the season.
Combined, Ruiz, Fielder, Hart and Wright comprised 342.7 of the team's
total 723.7 runs created (47%).
In addition to Wright, Romonosky made
several other high-profile trades this season. One move that had
many scratching their heads was Romonosky's decision to trade his #4
starter, Brett Myers, to the San Antonio Broncs in exchange for a couple
of young prospects, Brandon Belt and Mike Leake. Given that the
Sphinx were battling for the first playoffs spot at the time, it seemed
like a strange, "arbitrage" type of trade where present-day value was
sacrificed for future value.
Myers was replaced in the Sphinx
rotation with Scott Baker, who was picked up that same chapter in
exchange for rookie second baseman Tsuyoshi Nishioka (Great Lakes' #1
pick -- and the #2 overall pick -- in the 2011 farm draft.) That
same chapter, Romonoksy made another head-scratching trade by dealing
his second baseman, Martin Prado, to the Los Altos Undertakers in
exchange for Heath Bell. Prado was then replaced in the lineup by
Kelly Johnson -- yet another trade acquisition in Chapter Three.
After the music stopped, and all the
musical chair participants had settled into their seats, the Sphinx had
replaced Prado with Johnson, Myers with Baker, added a closer in Bell,
and picked up two valuable young players at the expense of their top
farm pick (who didn't pan out as expected.) It was a major net
gain for the franchise.
But Romonosky wasn't done yet.
Just prior to the final trading deadline of the season, Romonosky made
his boldest move yet by flipping both Belt and Leake (along with top
prospects Brett Lawrie and Zach Britton) to the Chicago Black Sox in
exchange for lefty ace Cliff Lee. Lee not only gave the Sphinx
some stellar innings of work down the stretch (going 8-3 with a 3.36 ERA
in 13 starts), but he became the
ace of an already dominant starting rotation, pushing every other
pitcher in the rotation down a slot. With Lee, Weaver, Jimenez and
Santana, Great Lakes can now compete with any starting rotation in the
league.
Not only has Scott Romonosky finally
reached the post-season, but he has a very good chance of advancing,
thanks to the decisions he's made at the trading table in 2011.
San
Antonio Broncs
The Broncs won just 50 games in 2010
(the worst record in the BDBL), yet they managed to eke into the
playoffs with a 96-win season in 2011. It is the fifth time the
Broncs have won the wild card -- a BDBL record. Despite the
absence of what most would consider to be an "ace" starter, San
Antonio's pitching staff posted a 3.46 team ERA -- good for second in
the OL behind only the mighty Undertakers of Los Altos. Part of
the credit for that ERA goes to the team's spacious new ballpark, with
its home run factors of 65 (LH) and 66 (RH). Broncs pitchers
allowed just 121 longballs this season, trailing only Los Altos and New
Milford in that category.
While no starting pitcher on the Broncs
stood out from the crowd, it was the San Antonio bullpen that carried
this team throughout the year. Craig Kimbrel (0.89 ERA in 20+ IP),
Joaquin Benoit (1.64 ERA in 66 IP), Matt Thornton (1.68 ERA in 64+ IP)
and Neftali Feliz (1.93 ERA in 56 IP) each owned an ERA under 2.00.
Clay Hensley (2.35 ERA in 72+ IP) also had a phenomenal year. As a
whole, the team allowed just 20% of inherited runners to score (tops in
the OL by a wide margin.)
On the offensive side, San Antonio hit
just 128 homers, and scored just 783 runs (7th in the OL). Only
three players on the Broncs' roster managed to top 400 PA's and an 800+
OPS: Ike Davis (827), David Murphy (818) and Tyler Colvin (820).
Edwin Encarnacion (879 OPS) just missed the 400 PA cutoff with 396.
And newcomer Manny Ramirez gave the team an 873 OPS through 30 games
down the stretch. In what is truly a BDBL playoffs rarity, no
hitter in the Broncs' lineup this season created 100+ runs this season.
So how does a team go from the worst
record in the entire league to the playoffs in just one year? It's
a story so familiar, it makes you wonder why every last-place team
doesn't make the same leap every year.
For starters, you need a little good
fortune. You need a few players to have surprising MLB seasons
that no one expected. Players like Doug Fister, who went from
being a 28th round draft pick in 2010 to the team's de facto ace in
2011. Or players like David Murphy, who went from a 596 OPS in
2010 to ranking among the team leaders in OPS in 2011.
You also need good fortune in the form
of players who far surpass their expected performance based on their MLB
numbers, such as Edwin Encarnacion (.244/.305/.482 in MLB,
.274/.346/.533 in BDBL), who exceeded expectations despite going from
one of baseball's best power-hitting parks (Toronto) to one of its worst
(Minnesota.)
You also need to make some shrewd
trades, like the one Greg Newgard made in 2010, when he dealt
free-agent-to-be John Lackey to the Ravenswood Infidels in exchange for
Carl Pavano and Ike Davis. A year later, Pavano is a 20-game
winner for the Broncs, while Davis is the team's offensive MVP.
It helps to have a little money to
spend on free agents. Like the $6.5 million Newgard spent to lock
in Omar Infante (.307/.351/.388) for the next three years. Or the
$5.5 million he spent to sign Matt Thornton for the same length of time.
It also helps to have a nice draft
position, such as the #1 pick the Broncs held in the 2011 draft, thanks
to their league-worst 110 losses in 2010. Newgard used that #1
pick to further bolster his already-stacked bullpen, acquiring Benoit
and Hensley for $5MM each in Rounds 3 and 4.
And finally, it helps to find a sucker
like me to trade Manny Ramirez to the team I would eventually lose the
wild card to by just one game. You're welcome, Greg.
St.
Louis Apostles
With their traditional high-powered
offense, a couple of aces and a bullpen filled with closers, the
Apostles were expected to run away with the Person Division this season.
Instead, St. Louis floundered around the bottom of the division
throughout the season, and didn't capture first place until the final
day of the season.
Despite the fact that all four teams in
the division finished with a record of .500 or better, the Apostles were
the only team in the division that outscored their opponents (by 73
runs.) With 83 wins, St. Louis has the fewest wins of any EL
playoff team since the 2002 Akron Ryche (81).
This was an unusually down year for
offense in the Eck League. Although St. Louis scored fewer than
800 runs (785), they ranked third in the league in that category.
Their 198 homers ranked #2 in the league, as did their 322 doubles and
789 OPS. Their triple-slash line of .276/.336/.454 was above
league average in each slash.
On the hill, the Apostles' 4.03 team
ERA ranked 5th in the EL. They allowed an average of 8.4 hit, 3.3
walks and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The St. Louis bullpen
saved 45 games in 62 opportunities -- a 72.% rate that ranks 4th in the
EL.
This is the fourth year in a row that
the Apostles are playing November baseball, but for some reason the road
to the post-season was much tougher for St. Louis this year than in
years past. Only three regulars from the 2010 Apostles returned to
the lineup in 2011: Albert Pujols (.307/.385/.580, 36 HR, 114 RBI),
Justin Upton (.247/.330/.367 in only 368 AB) and Dustin Pedroia
(.301/.359/.599, 23 HR). Upton's poor performance is particularly
notable, given that GM Bobby Sylvester traded Evan Longoria to acquire
him.
Sylvester's almost constant roster
tinkering also led to the departures of Nick Markakis and Brian McCann,
who were replaced this winter by prospects Zack Cox, Brett Lawrie, Devin
Mesoraco, Matt LaPorta and reliever Nick Massett. Later in the
season, Lawrie was sent packing to Great Lakes in the Starlin Castro
deal.
On the mound, the Apostles returned
both Adam Wainwright (15-12, 3.48 ERA, 230 K in 250+ IP) and Chris
Carpenter (16-13, 4.10 ERA, 177 K in 246 IP) -- the same one/two punch
they featured in 2010. At the final trading deadline of the
season, Sylvester dumped lefty ace C.J. Wilson (6-10, 4.68 ERA in 25
starts) and replaced him with righty ace Zack Greinke (5-6, 3.74 ERA in
13 starts). With Wilson gone, the team's Game Four starter in the
playoffs is now a mystery (assuming Sylvester goes with a four-man
rotation.) Brandon Morrow (3-1, 4.40 ERA in 5 starts), also
acquired at the Chapter Five deadline, is one candidate. Carlos
Silva (6-9, 4.35 ERA in 118 IP) is another.
After the St. Louis bullpen blew
several games in last year's ELCS, Sylvester took ELCS opponent Tom
DiStefano's criticism to heart and built an Undertakers-like bullpen
filled with multiple closers. This past winter, Sylvester traded
closer Brian Wilson, but added Joba Chamberlain (3-4, 3.67 ERA in 68+
IP) and Chris Perez (4-2, 2.70 ERA in 63+ IP). Then, at the
Chapter Three deadline, he added two more closers in Carlos Marmol (2.08
ERA in 47+ IP) and Mariano Rivera (1.86 ERA in 38+ IP).
In total, the ever-frenetic Sylvester
made TWENTY trades this season, including the acquisition of Andre
Ethier (.304/.395/.612, 28 HR in 381 AB) in the bizarre "arbitrage"
trade with Nic Weiss, Sylvester's own bizarre "arbitrage" trade of Brian
McCann to the New Milford Blazers in exchange for prospects (leaving the
Apostles with Jorge Posada as their only catcher), several trades
involving draft picks, and trading established vets for prospects like
Devin Mesoraco and Brett Lawrie, only to turn around shortly thereafter
and recycle them for established vets.
In other words, it was business as
usual for Bobby Sylvester in 2011.
Mississippi
Meatballs
The Meatballs clinched their third
division title (the first under GM Nic Weiss) on the penultimate day of
the season with a record of 86-74. This, despite outscoring their
opposition by just ONE RUN in 2011. By comparison, the
second-place Las Vegas Flamingos outscored their opponents by 120 runs.
As you might suspect, the Meatballs owned a +6 Pythagorean difference,
while the Flamingos trailed the league at -8. And the reason for
that? Mississippi went 28-22 in one-run games, while Vegas went
just 20-30. With luck like that, Johnny Bo should stay far away
from Vegas.
Mississippi had more come-from-behind
victories than any team in the OL except the Cowtippers. They were
beat up by the Flamingos all season, going 5-11, but were able to coast
to the finish line thanks to the Bear Country Jamboree, against whom
they went 11-1. The Meatballs were just 4-8 against their OLDS
opponents, the Los Altos Undertakers.
As a team, Mississippi scored 828 runs
-- good for fourth in the OL. They also smashed 233 homers, which
led the Ozzie League. More bad news on their OLDS match-up:
Mississippi hit just .238/.305/.385 against left-handers this season --
the third-lowest OPS in the OL. Against righties, they hit much
better at .265/.342/.473. Unfortunately, all four of Los Altos'
starters are left-handed.
On the mound, Mississippi owned a 4.61
team ERA, which ranks 9th in the OL. Meatballs pitchers allowed
more hits (1,564) than innings pitched (1,447.1), but ranked #2 in the
OL in strikeouts (1,213).
As a GM, Weiss has made a name for
himself through frantic trading, reminiscent of his predecessor Ken "Sharky"
Kaminski. This season was no different, as Weiss made 10 trades
during the season and three trades in the pre-season. Weiss'
trademark trading style is to practice what he calls "arbitrage", which
basically means giving up a player with perceived high value in exchange
for a player with perceived low value. We all do this, of course,
but Weiss has practiced arbitrage at such a high level, and with such
seeming disregard for his team's present fate, that it oftentimes
appears as though he is waving the white flag when he should be pushing
for a pennant.
In 2009, Weiss' franchise (then called
the "Marlboro Hammerheads") were picked to win their division.
Instead, they got off to a 10-18 start, and Weiss began unloading his
stars in "arbitrage" trades. The team's biggest star, Alex
Rodriguez, was traded in early March. But despite that, Marlboro
went on a winning streak, and captured sole possession of first place
just a month later. The Hammerheads and Flamingos spent the next
five months trading seats at the head of the table, and cruised into the
final week of the season with a one game lead over Las Vegas. But
the Flamingos then swept the Hammerheads in the final series of the
season and took the division crown.
Throughout that exciting 2009 race,
Weiss continued to make trade after trade. In total, he made 17
trades -- 8 of them during BDBL Weekend in St. Louis. One of his
best trades was acquiring Dan Uggla (.304/.367/.522 with a team-leading
36 HR, 106 R and 112 RBI) from the Nashville Funkadelic in exchange for
Brandon Morrow and a bunch of prospects. But of all the trades
Weiss made in 2009, the one that had the greatest impact was a Chapter
Four trade with the Cleveland Rocks. In that deal, Weiss sent
talented young pitcher Ricky Nolasco to Cleveland (along with reliever
Mike Lincoln.) And in exchange, he received six players, including
shortstop Troy Tulowitzki. Tulo has become the face of the
Meatballs franchise, and in 2011, he contributed a .277/.351/.520
batting line to the cause, hitting 32 homers, scoring 101 runs and
knocking in 90.
In 2010, the Meatballs were once again
expected to compete for a division title. Once again, they got off
to a hot start, going 30-26 in the first two chapters and creeping to
within three games of the OL wild card leader. But once again,
Weiss began wheeling and dealing. His most controversial trade was
sending star slugger Manny Ramirez to the Rocks in Chapter Two, getting
only future considerations Alex Gordon and Tanner Scheppers in return.
Weiss defended the trade by explaining that there was plenty of time
left to fill the hole left by Ramirez and get back in the race.
But with the Ravenswood Infidels running away with the division since
Day One (eventually finishing with a 110-50 record), and the Cowtippers
and Blazers fighting an epic battle for the wild card, Mississippi was
left in the dust. They eventually finished a distant second place
in the division with a record of 90-70 -- five games out of the wild
card race.
This past winter, Weiss continued
making inexplicable "arbitrage" types of trades that seemed to hurt his
team's chances of competing this season. In one such trade, Weiss
not only hurt his own team, but greatly helped the team that some
(including the Season Preview) were picking to win the Benes Division:
the New York Giants. In that deal, Weiss traded reigning National
League MVP Joey Votto to the Giants in exchange for Ricky Romero and a
couple of prospects. Romero had a decent season for Mississippi,
going 11-13 with a 4.04 ERA in 240+ innings. Votto, meanwhile, was
eventually replaced in the lineup with Travis Hafner, who came to the
team in a strange pre-season deal with the Villanova Mustangs that
netted not only Hafner, but mediocre $8.5 million shortstop Derek Jeter.
The acquisition of Jeter raised more
than a few eyebrows, as the team already employed Tulowitzki at
shortstop. In the end, Mississippi's Opening Day lineup included a
DH (Hafner) playing first base and a shortstop (Jeter) playing out of
position at third base. Despite all the mixing-and-matching of
defensive alignments, the Meatballs got off to a 15-13 start in Chapter
One.
But despite being just three games out
of the division lead, Weiss wasn't done making "arbitrage" trades just
yet. In a move that elicited howls of derision from the BDBL press
corps, Weiss traded his best hitter at the time, Andre Ethier (hitting
.294/.410/.574 at the time), to his favorite trading partner, the St.
Louis Apostles. In addition to Ethier, Weiss also included his top
prospect, Miguel Sano, and a second prospect (Philippe Aumont.) In
exchange, the Meatballs received only situational reliever Nick Massett
and prospects Chris Archer and Trey McNutt. It was among the most
nonsensical trades of the year, and earned Weiss a place on the BDBL
Trade Announcements Forum under the headline "Can you believe what Nic
Weiss just did?" (A position he still holds to this day.)
Just hours later, Weiss announced a
second trade, in which he flipped Archer to the Bear Country Jamboree
(along with Jason Bay and Junichi Tazawa), getting David Ortiz and
Travis Schlichting in return. Ortiz (.261/.378/.601, 32 HR, 93 RBI
in 371 AB), also a DH by nature, pushed Hafner to left field (giving the
team yet another player playing out of position.) Ortiz finally
gave the team the power-hitting first baseman that Votto would have been
if he hadn't been traded.
Despite -- or perhaps because of -- all
the constant tinkering, the Meatballs continued to roll in the second
chapter, going 16-12 to keep pace with the Flamingos, who went 17-11 on
the chapter. And once again, Weiss went back to the trading table
to tinker some more.
Way back in 2008, during Weiss' first
year as GM of the franchise, he became the beneficiary of one of Jim
Doyle's infamously horrendous trades. At the final deadline of the
season, Weiss negotiated an 11-player blockbuster trade in which he
added two of the league's best young pitchers: Scott Kazmir and Cole
Hamels. While Kazmir eventually flamed out and was not a factor in
2011, Hamels was supposed to play a major role in the team's push for
contention. But after getting off to a 2-6 start, with a 5.50 ERA
in 14 starts, Weiss lost his patience with his young ace and traded him
to the Kansas Law Dogs in exchange for Luke Hochevar and three
prospects. Incredibly, Hochevar (whose MLB ERA was over a full run
higher than Hamels') went 5-0 with a 3.63 ERA for Mississippi in a dozen
starts.
Weiss still wasn't done trading.
That same week, he traded promising young hitter Alex Gordon and two
others to the SoCal Slyme in exchange for pricey catcher/first baseman
Victor Martinez. In 101 games for Mississippi, Martinez hit
.327/.381/.541 with 34 doubles and 15 homers. With Martinez firmly
entrenched behind the plate, the Meatballs had no need for another
catcher...but Weiss then traded for one, anyway, sacrificing closer
Mariano Rivera for backup catcher Bengie Molina. It was just
another bizarre trade that seemed to harm the 2011 team without any
benefit. With Rivera out of the bullpen picture, Weiss used a
committee of closers that included guys like Chris Sale (1.73 ERA in 26
IP, 5 SV), Joel Peralta (2.52 ERA in 53+ IP, 10 SV), Huston Street (2.61
ERA in 51+ IP, 4 SV) and Arthur Rhodes (2.67 ERA in 33+ IP, 8 SV).
Defying all logic, Mississippi just
kept winning. They headed into the all-star break with a 46-34
record (.575), which was good enough to lead the Benes Division despite
the fact that they were being outscored by 16 runs. They managed
to maintain that two game lead after four chapters of play. And
once again, Weiss stepped back to the trade table to tinker with his
team some more.
At the final trading deadline of the
season, Weiss added ace C.J. Wilson from the St. Louis Apostles,
sacrificing Brandon Morrow and three others in the process. Wilson
became the team's de facto ace on paper, though he went just 3-6 in 14
starts, with a 3.78 ERA. Then, in a monster 14-player trade, Weiss
added another ace, Wandy Rodriguez, and a legitimate third baseman,
Scott Rolen, from the Ravenswood Infidels. Rodriguez was a
disaster for the Meatballs, going 5-5 with a 6.17 ERA in 14 starts.
Rolen hit .264/.345/.464 in 36 games and didn't commit an error.
Mississippi faded down the stretch,
going just 26-30. But somehow, it was good enough to barely eke by
with a division title in the final days of the season. They now
have the honor of facing the unstoppable Undertakers dynasty in the
Division Series. Best of luck with that. |